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Even Blairs former manager for high value fundraising Vanessa Bowcock is back in a similar role in Starmers office. This week, though, has provided a reminder of two important things that deserve to be noted by political observers. Indeed, Labours biggest backer, the union Unite, has reduced its contributions to the party in retaliation for Starmers efforts to shift away from the socialist policies of Corbyn. Sir Keir Starmer's decision to make Sue Gray his chief of staff proves he is a "man of the establishment" and will harm Labour's chances of winning the Red Wall, a former Conservative party chairman has claimed Sir Jake Berry said the appointment underlined that the Labour leader would run a . Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer is trailing Boris Johnson as the British public's preferred prime minister by 17 percentage points, according to a new poll. A moderate Labour MP said we cant be shy about raising money from private individuals, especially if they want to win big at the next election. Yet Starmer found himself going backwards, as Labour sank gently in the opinion polls. Gray, who has decades of government experience, came into the national spotlight last year for her damning investigation into the partygate scandal, a series of law-breaking . Labour leader Keir Starmer addresses the annual Labour Party conference in Brighton, England, on 9 September 2021 (AFP) Keir Starmer's wait-it-out approach may finally be . The party was clearly in the middle of a dramatic transformation. Sir Keir Starmer - Labour Party Leader. but more one-sided than a North Korean election held at gunpoint. Our one rule for them framing is paying off, said the source, with Johnson proving it to be true time and again. Such criteria would presumably be based on an assessment of public opinion in Scotland over a sustained period: a consistent, long-running lead for independence in opinion polls, say, or in election results (measured, as the SNP have recently suggested, in terms of a vote share of over 50 per cent for independence-supporting parties). Politics. The more he engages with people from the City, the more he feels comfortable with the vocabulary and the issues, a department head at an investment bank said. Date(s) Left-wing Labour MP Diane Abbott said Starmer seems to be reverting to the worst practices of New Labour., What business will want, because theyre giving us all this money, is theyll want results, she said. In a speech in July he said rebooting the economy would be a Labour governments defining task. He also had the shameless Johnson and the Faragiste Tory press bursting to make trouble. As February ends, the Prime Minister remains mired in an extended poll slump, while the Labour leader and his party continue to ride high. Meanwhile, Sunak continues to trail Keir Starmer in most of the country on the question of which would be the better Prime Minister at this moment. Having dealt with the party machinery at the last conference, the plan was always that the next one will focus on setting out our plans for Britain. Opinion Rishi Sunak. Approval for the government's handling of the pandemic is at its highest since mid-April last year, with 47% of adults happy and 33% disapproving. Rishi Sunak today accused Sir Keir Starmer of "typical political posturing" in a fiery PMQs session. A senior Labour source said: We know what needs to be done between now and the next election and are ticking everything off on the list. about 1 month ago . A source in the leaders office told me that, with Keir, the Labour Party has the strongest message discipline weve had in years. Either way, were these numbers replicated at a general election you would be looking at a solid Labour majority of 240-260 and only around 100 Conservative MPs in the Commons. The Labour leader has made a dirty word of socialism and shown that his own word counts for nothing. LONDON Keir Starmer wants big business to mold Labours election plans and get its fingerprints on his policy agenda. It is still more likely that Sunak will oversee the end of a long period of Conservative government than its renewal. Enough is Enough unequivocally denounces a heartless establishment that, it implies, includes Starmer himself. At the same time, the Governments net competency rating is up in both the Red Wall and the Blue Wall, by three points to -35% in the Red Wall and by two points to -36% in the Blue Wall, respectively. Starmer has ensured that the two dominant parties in Britain, like those in the United States, are both unapologetically of capital. The latest news, data and analysis on the worlds pandemic response. His website and blog can be found at www.jonathan-cook.net. Of course, the Conservative Party will take evasive action, up to and including changing leader, before the next election, but we can now see that Labours doom and gloom about Starmers anti-charisma and Johnsons Teflon qualities were overdone. But the signs are that there will be little enthusiasm for a Labour Party led by him as a replacement. Starmer, he said, was making catastrophic errors, creating a punch-up with our own side. In an interview with the New Statesman last month, Tarry offered a damning assessment of the Labour leader, accusing him of tearing the party apart to erase any trace of Corbynism, despite his predecessor taking the party in 2017 to within an inch of an election victory. The ex-PM said during his think tanks Future of Britain conference last year that he wants to help influence the policy agenda in Westminster over the next decade. Some 55% of people polled said they were dissatisfied with the Prime Minister, compared to 49% in December. . Progressive politics is out in the cold. A poll released on the Monday of conference put Labour 17 points . If Blairites are now on the rise once again in the Labour Party, what about the man himself? He is not. Even some Tory rebels were baffled by Starmers performance, saying it had helped Johnson regain some stability after the confidence vote. Copyright 2014 - 2023. 2023 But worse, in colluding with the narrative of the Tories and establishment media, he has made a dirty word of socialism of any kind. Only 29% of voters think Sir Keir looks like a prime minister in waiting, including 48% of people who voted Labour in 2019's general election. The date range for opinion polls is from the 2019 United Kingdom general election, held on 12 December, to the present day. These could include a comparison of leading politicians within the same party (to gauge support for future leadership contests), or compare the current leader of one party to an alternative leader of a second. Potential Tory rebels faced a pincer movement of private pressure at Westminster alongside assured ministerial actions on the national stage. First, it has suggested that Sunak is capable of rebuilding at least some of the reputation for Conservative competence. . Dominic Raab's popularity falls to -57 amid bullying inquiry . His party trails Labour by, Sunak has had luck along the way. Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer is trailing Boris Johnson as the British public's preferred prime minister by 17 percentage points, according to a new poll. When Starmer was running for leader, many of his supporters expressed how important it was that he looked like a prime-minister-in . On the proposal to reduce the threshold at which people pay the highest rate of tax from 150,000 to 125,140, the poll found that 50% of adults support this measure while 13% are opposed. He is also said to regularly chat with Starmer about the job of opposition leader and what to expect if he enters No. Starmer is ahead in best PM polling. The breach with Rayner was serious, and would continue to be for the rest of the year, but she was no threat to Starmers position as leader. Updated on 2 March 2023 at 8:00. Sunaks handling of the NI protocol suggests a leader and a Tory party with more left in the tank than some think. Labours leads range from a yawning 31-point gap in our GB poll on the NHS (that lead representing a one-point gain from late January) to a relatively narrow four-point lead over the Conservatives in the Blue Wall as the party most trusted to manage the economy (32% to 28%, down from a 35% to 25% lead in our last Blue Wall Poll of January). Sir Keir took over his party's leadership from Jeremy Corbyn in April last year, and by September the party was ahead of the Conservatives in some polls for the first time since Mr Johnson became prime minister. He urged those in the session to make sure that as we go into that election and hopefully the other side of that election, we are saying the right thing in the right way about what we can achieve.. Hopes for that encounter had been high following the confidence vote held by Tory MPs over Johnsons leadership, a move that left the prime minister deeply wounded with 148 voting against him. To top it all, Trusss government has vowed to let the energy sector continue raking in inflated profits rather than impose a crowd-pleasing windfall tax. Latest news, analysis and comment on German politics and beyond. In a nationally representative poll taken August 26th to 29th, Keir Starmer leads Liz Truss by 10 points or more on: And also by 11 points for each of paying attention to detail (41% to 30%), being a capable leader (38% to 27%) and they are going to make the country a better place (35% to 24%). His job approval rating is bumping along at -26. On policy delivery, the Government continues to struggle massively on the three key issues of the economy, the NHS, and immigration. And finally, it worked. Millionaires clearly want different policy priorities, but it matters to public opinion who is influencing the people who are supposed to be working in our interests?. That has included reneging on his commitment to take back into public ownership key utilities, including gas and electricity. Government approval on all three issues has risen in the Red Wall, recovering from a particularly bad poll in late January to now stand at -27% on the economy (+14), -41% on the NHS (+13), and -40% on immigration (+7). It is, admittedly, early days for such speculation. In recent months, trade unions have threatened to make further cuts to their funding, too. Commenting, Prof. Matt Goodwin added: Amid a mass exodus from the Labour market, and millions of people now taking out-of-work benefits in various forms, this polling clearly points to public support for helping people who are on benefits back into the workplace. Voiced by artificial intelligence. Sorting the protocol was in that category, a sensible bit of ground-clearing and confidence-building. The vaccine effect wore off, and the stories of parties in Downing Street last year blew up a bomb marked double standards which had been sitting unexploded for some time under the weakening structure. More broadly, this will be central to boosting the nations productivity going forward. X. Political Monitor. 2021 Associated Newspapers Limited. And she heads a Conservative Party barely able to conceal its disarray after such a long spell in government, just as Britain is about to lunge from an energy and cost-of-living crisis into full-blown recession. The polls may be indicating a huge win for Labour at the next general election, but here's a reason Keir Starmer shouldn't be celebrating yet: Almost two in three voters want a new political party to take on the Conservatives and Labour, a shock new study of trust in politics has found. The man who would be Prime Minister addressed St. Columb's politics students and students from the . Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICOs editors and guest writers on the continent. Blair and others involved have always claimed there was no connection between the two events. Businesses arent altruists giving us all this money means that they will tend to want more movement towards the interests of business., Mandelson, meanwhile, told POLITICO Labour needs many more individual donors to compensate for the sums currently being withheld by hard-left controlled unions.. Most of what was unveiled notably the green and red lanes and the dispute resolution system has been on the table for years. And in refusing to countenance any dissent from within Labour, or entertain any meaningful pluralism in its ranks - starkly illustrated by his approaches both to support for Nato and the monarchy - he has echoed not only the rights agenda but its authoritarian instinctstoo. When Sir Keir Starmer turned Labour chief in 2020, few ever believed he would develop into prime minister. Collapse. In a similar vein, Starmer has strictly distanced Labour from the spate of strikes breaking out as workers struggle with escalating costs, despite earlier committing towork shoulder to shoulder with the unions to stand up for working people, tackle insecure work and low pay Oppose Tory attacks on the right to take industrial action and the weakening of workplace rights., While Starmer has agreed, when pressed, that workers have a right to strike in principle, his office has condemned strikes, like the rail unions, when they actually take place. 2023. But dont underestimate this prime minister, either. Starmer certainly is not doing so. Collapse. Yet Keir Starmer's 'mission statement' last week managed something that nearly all speeches from those in his job - including most of his own - fail to achieve: broadly favourable and widespread coverage of his core message that Labour is a government . After languishing stubbornly behind the government in surveys since his election to head Labour in early 2020, Starmer is now reported to have a seven-point lead over the Tories new leader, Liz Truss, when the public is asked who would do a better job as prime minister. It was a key insight to recognise that the DUP had overreached itself at the expense of the UKs wider economic and political interests, and was therefore in a weaker position than many assumed. Labour is up 5-points on last week, perhaps suggesting a bounce after the autumn statement, although it is too early to know. Angela Rayner, the Labour deputy leader, also suggested that Starmer looks too much like a lawyer in public appearances and should put some more welly into his speeches. "The Labour leader has taken a significant fall across all metrics in the last two weeks, particularly being a strong leader, looking like a prime minister in waiting, and being able to get things done. But allow some credit where it is due to Sunak. Truss and her party have dealt him the easiest of hands, even if he continues to play it as cautiously as possible. His team say Starmers main task has been repairing the partys internal workings after the strife during Jeremy Corbyns leadership. From the (limited) media I read it was pretty well received and will maintain/increase Labour's lead in the opinion polls. The next election is expected in 2024, but it could be sooner if Liz Truss's huge tax giveaway backfiresmore than it already has. "However, at least then Labour could console itself that their leader was new and making a positive impression. Latest news, analysis and comment on migration in Europe and beyond. Prince Harry set to lose crucial royal role as bitter feud could se 'Whats up with government by WhatsApp? Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. In the aftermath of the Autumn Budget, I imagine these numbers will be a relief to Starmer and his team. This, to me, points to a considerable reservoir of voter discontent with the available options on left and right.. Neither Labour or the Cabinet Office denied a report by Sky News' that the Labour leader who current polls suggest could . These include the new constituency boundaries on which the next election will be fought, the reduction in the number of seats from Wales and Scotland, and the fact that the Tories need a smaller lead than Labour in the overall national vote to be the largest party at Westminster or to have an overall majority. An improved UK-EU relationship that could eventually ease Britains trading problems is more distant still. It would be foolish to ignore them. Starmers Labour increasingly looks like a pale replica of the modern Conservative Party, which publicly extols the virtues of unfettered markets while privately skewing the economic battle-space in big businesss favour - a covert socialism, but for the rich only. Search. How Sir Keir Starmer's Labour would run a government From 'wealth' taxes to net zero, this is how the would-be PM may act should his party's huge opinion poll lead see them through an election Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in, The opinion polls have turned in the Labour leaders favour vindicating his strategic patience, Find your bookmarks in your Independent Premium section, under my profile. Having Tony introduce Keir at the next Labour conference? neutral role in the civil service would come at a time when Labour holds a strong lead over the ruling Conservatives in opinion polls and as Starmer sets out his vision and policy priorities for Britain ahead of a . For many, he is also indelibly linked to other New Labour cash scandals, including a rowover a watered-down advertising banfor Formula 1 just after F1 boss Bernie Ecclestone gave millions to the party. Keir Starmer, leader of the Labour Party, speaks at the National Farmers' Union (NFU) conference in Birmingham, UK, on Tuesday, Feb. 21, 2023. Not least, he has shredded the pledges he made during his campaign for the Labour leadership, policy commitments he sold Labour members as evidence he would serve as the continuity candidate for his left-wing predecessor, Jeremy Corbyn. Rishi Sunak is shaping up to be a prime minister Keir Starmer should be wary of,Sunak's handling of the NI protocol suggests a leader - and a Tory party - with more left in the tank than some think, says Guardian columnist Martin Kettle Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies. But he has gone further, accepting neoliberal orthodoxy that concessions to workers hinder business and damage economic activity. Combined with his purges of the Labour left, including Corbyn, using antisemitism as the pretext, Starmer has hollowed out left-wing politics in the UK of any substance. The survey by GB News, sees Labour on 47% of the national vote, the Conservative Party on 21%, the Liberal Democrats on 10%, the Greens on 7% and Reform on 6%. The prominent involvement of Labour MP Zarah Sultana, a Corbyn supporter, suggests the depth of frustration in growing sections of the party at the direction Starmer has taken. After the loss of Hartlepool in a by-election in May and a clash with Angela Rayner, the deputy Labour leader, over the reshuffle that followed, he and his party seemed to suffer a crisis of confidence. Cubus Follow. When asked who is best to manage the economy in the years ahead, 30% say a Labour government with Sir Keir Starmer as Prime Minister. Nicola Sturgeons departure has disarmed the Scottish separatist threat for a while, though the union remains fragile in the longer term. In March, Boris Johnson's net approval rating rose to +3, meaning that the PM now has a better net approval rating than Keir Starmer for the first time since April 2020. . That view is backed by Labours left-wing Momentum faction, which is preparing a showdown with Starmer at the party conference. Not only is Labour considered a strong favorite to win the next election, but the moderate Labour right faction is now in firm control of the party an unthinkable position just a few years ago when the Corbynite left looked unassailable. , Bloomberg. All Time Today Last Week Last Month. As popular anger mounts, Starmers lack of vision for a sustainable future risks plunging parliamentary politics into even deeper crisis. The damage done by the polarisation, recklessness, venality and destructiveness of the May-Johnson-Truss years casts long shadows that will shape the politics of this decade. Meanwhile, he has differentiated Labour simply by eschewing the more indefensible forms of predatory capitalism the current Conservative leadership embraces. Support for the Labour Party has grown in the aftermath of the Autumn Statement, a new poll reveals today. Log in to access content and manage your profile. Even in the lowest months of the summer, there was no serious talk of a leadership challenge. Perhaps Sunak should not be too readily dismissed as a caretaker who is seeing out time until Keir Starmer takes over. Hes a lawyer hes learning his brief.. BMG Research interviewed a representative sample of 2,091 GB adults online between 16 and 18 August. The non-Corbynite majority of Labour MPs didnt have an alternative candidate either; hence their mood of gloom and fatalism. Keir Starmer is finally ahead in the polls but at what cost? His party trails Labour by more than 20 points in the polls. Polls indicate the Tories still lag behind Labour in national opinion . As a strategy to win an election the speech "did the trick". The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Eye. Opinion comes closest regarding having a lot of . The Labour leaders raft of broken promises on key issues likely to be close to the hearts of voters as their living standards collapse risks casting him as unreliable and untrustworthy. The DUP is divided about how to respond, and enjoys the feeling of having Sunaks future in its hands. If you do not have an account you can register here. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay, co-leaders of the Green Party of England and Wales since October 2021. politics . It also reveals that Starmers party holds a narrow two-point lead, compared with a three-point lead in the last poll a fortnight ago. He could hardly have been in a weaker position than he was when he took over as Tory leader in October. He has lots of experience. She told ITV's . . Latest UK Opinion Polls: Government approval recent changes. Levys return to the fold has also provided a big boost to Labours fundraising clout. Like Toto the dog pulling back the wizard's curtain, the rancorous and increasingly risible leadership contest is exposing rifts within the SNP as never before; instead of revealing a kindly old . Sir Keir had started to close the gap in April, pollsters Opimium said, but in a survey held on 13 and 14 May, he garnered just 23% support as preferred prime minister. Another shadow cabinet minister agreed. Shadow Cabinet ministers have been urged to attend as many dinners with prospective donors as possible, with the leaders office sometimes pairing ministers with wealthy individuals. Overall, 57% of all voters support this, rising to 78% of Rishi Sunaks own voters. Nobody wants to see industrial action that is disruptive.. Chancellor of the Exchequer Jeremy Hunt leaves 11 Downing Street, LondonJames Manning. Asked if they wanted their home to remain British, Falkland Islanders said Yes by 99.8 per cent . 2. One Labour MP described Alli as absolutely lovely and very persuasive. Referring to his status as one of the worlds only openly gay Muslim politicians, they added: You should never underestimate someone from his background who has fought that hard for LGBT rights.. He has not dared to seize the initiative as workers pay falls well behind rocketing inflation. Having endured a torrid few months, Rishi Sunak is at least ending February on a personal high. There is also majority support for helping the more than 600,000 people on benefits to have to meet with a work coach to help them back into the labour market. R&WS Research Team. Boris Johnson and Keir Starmer at the Platinum Pageant for the Queen in London. He was at the center of a police investigation into the so-called cash for honors scandal in 2006, which saw claims that seats in the House of Lords were being offered in exchange for large unregistered loans to the Labour Party. Keir Starmer was rewarded for his strategic patience, according to an ally, when just as the year ended, he took a clear lead over Boris Johnson as the leader people would prefer to have as prime minister. In many ways this looks rather like 1996 with Blair and Brown promising Tory-like spending controls and picking fights with the left of the party. The Partygate investigator Sue Gray is a likely candidate to be Keir Starmer's chief of staff, as the Labour leader searches for a veteran civil . Rather than proposing investment, as previous Labour leaders have done, he has preferred to turn the tables on the Tories, accusing them ofrelying on a magic money tree. Labour holds a 10-point lead over the Conservatives as Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak attack each other in public but Sir Keir Starmers personal ratings have gone backwards. Labour holds large leads over the Conservatives in each of our three tracker polls as the party most trusted on the economy, the NHS, and immigration.